預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA

開賽時間: 2026-08-23 22:15 UTC

最終賽果: River Plate 2–2 Velez Sarsfield BA

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate (主隊)

預測 57.27%1.75公平賠率
EV -3.22%
優勢 -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.69

博彩公司預測分布
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Velez Sarsfield BA (客隊)

預測 15.47%6.46公平賠率
EV +3.05%
優勢 +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
成長率 +0.016%

假設最高賠率為 6.66

博彩公司預測分布
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.26%3.67公平賠率
EV -2.95%
優勢 -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.56

博彩公司預測分布
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:River Plate (主隊):57.27%;Velez Sarsfield BA (客隊):15.47%;和局:27.26%。 對於「Velez Sarsfield BA (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.66,對應+3.05%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:09
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 21:49
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:54
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:07
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 22:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%1.7%2026-08-23 22:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-08-23 22:05