Langue:Français
River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 57.27%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.47%6.46cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 6.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.26%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 57.27% ; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur) : 15.47% ; Match nul : 27.26%. Pour Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.46. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.66, soit une espérance positive de +3.05%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57% | 1.7% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |