Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA

Inizio: 2026-08-23 22:15 UTC

Finale: River Plate 2–2 Velez Sarsfield BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

River Plate (Casa)

Previsione 57.27%1.75quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.47%6.46quota equa
EV +3.05%
Vantaggio +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.26%3.67quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: River Plate (Casa): 57.27%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta): 15.47%; Pareggio: 27.26%. Per Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.46. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.66, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.05%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:09
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 21:49
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:54
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:07
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 22:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%1.7%2026-08-23 22:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-08-23 22:05