StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: River Plate 2–2 Velez Sarsfield BA

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate (Hemma)

Prognos 57.27%1.75rättvist odds
EV -3.22%
Fördel -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta)

Prognos 15.47%6.46rättvist odds
EV +3.05%
Fördel +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.26%3.67rättvist odds
EV -2.95%
Fördel -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: River Plate (Hemma): 57.27%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta): 15.47%; Oavgjort: 27.26%. För Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.46. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.66, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.05%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:09
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 21:49
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:54
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 22:07
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 22:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-23 22:05
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%1.7%2026-08-23 22:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41%2.2%2026-08-23 22:05