Language:English
Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV +3.07%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 38.17%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 61.83%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |