Język:Polski
Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 38.17%2.62kurs godziwy
EV +3.07%
Przewaga +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Wzrost +0.055%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Chicago Cubs (Goście)
Prognoza 61.83%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -1.08%
Przewaga -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 38.17%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 61.83%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.62. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.70, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.07%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |