預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-11 22:46 UTC — MLB

獨贏

35 家博彩公司 (15 家納入分析 )

40%

60%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Nationals (主隊)

預測 39.88%2.51公平賠率

EV -0.293%

優勢 -0.117%

Kelly -0.195%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.50

博彩公司預測分布

39.32%39.93%39.85%40.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.90%41.67%40.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Chicago Cubs (客隊)

預測 60.12%1.66公平賠率

EV -0.807%

優勢 -0.489%

Kelly -1.24%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.65

博彩公司預測分布

59.05%60.07%60.15%60.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.541.591.591.6564.94%62.87%62.89%60.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Washington Nationals (主隊)：39.88%；Chicago Cubs (客隊)：60.12%。對於「Washington Nationals (主隊)」，該估計相當於2.51的公平十進位賠率。沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率：目前最佳賠率為2.50，期望值為-0.293%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (35 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	利潤率	更新時間
Caesars🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.293%E -0.117%K -0.195%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-11 01:23
LowVig.ag🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.49%E -0.603%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-11 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.49%E -0.603%K -1.01%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-11 01:24
BetUS🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.29%E -0.933%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-11 01:28
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-11 01:43
1xBet🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.88%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.807%E -0.489%K -1.24%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-11 01:49
DraftKings🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.88%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-11 01:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-10 22:30
FanDuel🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-10 22:15
Bovada🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-10 23:09
Coral🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 01:25
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-10 22:55
BetMGM🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-11 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 01:40
888sport🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-10 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-10 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-10 22:15
Bet Right🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-10 22:15
Paddy Power🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-10 22:14
betano_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-10 22:13
Bet Victor🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-10 22:14
Coolbet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-10 22:14
SportsBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.10%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-10 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.88%E -2.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 01:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-11 01:25
Neds🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-11 01:24
Fliff🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-11 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-10 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-10 22:20
ReBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-10 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.67%E -2.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-11 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-11 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-11 01:39

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Kalshi◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-08-11 01:40
Novig◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-08-11 02:05
ProphetX◎	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%	1.7%	2026-08-11 01:55
Polymarket◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%	2.0%	2026-08-11 01:55
Smarkets◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57%	10.4%	2026-08-11 01:40
Matchbook◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%	1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%	12.1%	2026-08-11 01:55

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