Langue:Français
Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prévision 38.17%2.62cote équitable
EV +3.07%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.055%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.83%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Nationals (Local) : 38.17% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 61.83%. Pour Washington Nationals (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.62. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.70, soit une espérance positive de +3.07%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |