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Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.17%2.62справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.07%
Преимущество +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Рост +0.055%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chicago Cubs (Гости)
Прогноз 61.83%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.08%
Преимущество -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 38.17%; Chicago Cubs (Гости): 61.83%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.62. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.07%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 22:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 22:38 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |