Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-11 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 6–8 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 38.17%2.62odd justa
EV +3.07%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.055%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 61.83%1.62odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 38.17%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 61.83%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.62. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 17:40
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-11 17:35
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 19:29
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:15
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 19:40
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 22:15
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-11 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:40
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:35
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 19:14
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 19:33
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 19:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:44
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:09
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:44
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 22:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 22:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-08-11 22:45
BetOpenly◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-08-11 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-11 20:30
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-11 20:15
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-11 22:45
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-08-11 22:45
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-08-11 22:45