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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-11 22:46 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 39.88%2.51公平赔率
EV -0.293%
优势 -0.117%
Kelly -0.195%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
39.32%39.93%39.85%40.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.90%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 60.12%1.66公平赔率
EV -0.807%
优势 -0.489%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
59.05%60.07%60.15%60.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.591.591.6564.94%62.87%62.89%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Washington Nationals (主队)：39.88%；Chicago Cubs (客队)：60.12%。 对于“Washington Nationals (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.50，期望值为-0.293%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.293%E -0.117%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-11 01:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.49%E -0.603%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.49%E -0.603%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 01:24
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.29%E -0.933%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 01:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 01:43
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.88%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.807%E -0.489%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 01:49
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.88%E -1.61%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 22:15
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:09
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 01:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 01:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.78%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:15
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 22:15
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 22:14
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 22:13
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.22%E -3.99%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.88%E -2.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 01:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 01:25
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 01:24
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.02%E -3.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 22:20
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.62%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.67%E -2.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 01:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 01:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-11 01:40
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-11 02:05
ProphetX◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-08-11 01:55
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-08-11 01:55
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57%10.4%2026-08-11 01:40
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%12.1%2026-08-11 01:55

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