StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-11 22:46 UTC

Endstand: Washington Nationals 6–8 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 38.17%2.62faire Quote
EV +3.07%
Vorteil +1.14%
Kelly +1.80%
Wachstum +0.055%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.56%38.17%38.12%39.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.66%40.00%37.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 61.83%1.62faire Quote
EV -1.08%
Vorteil -0.673%
Kelly -1.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.61%61.83%61.88%64.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.00%64.94%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Washington Nationals (Heim): 38.17%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 61.83%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.62. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.07%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.07%E +1.14%K +1.80%G +0.055%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +1.16%E +0.437%K +0.703%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.396%E +0.150%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.73%E -6.67%K -21.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 17:40
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.014%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-11 17:35
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 19:29
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.749%E -0.288%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.64%E -4.40%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:15
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 19:25
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.51%E -0.586%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 19:40
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 22:15
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.28%E -0.889%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.55%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.45%EV -1.08%E -0.673%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-11 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:40
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.04%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:35
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 19:14
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 22:09
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 19:33
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 19:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:44
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:09
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:44
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.41%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.24%E -2.98%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.50%E -5.74%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 22:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.55%E -2.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 22:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.38%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 22:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.53%E -4.02%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 22:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-08-11 22:45
BetOpenly◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%0.1%2026-08-11 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-11 22:35
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-11 20:30
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-11 20:15
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-11 22:45
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-08-11 22:45
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-08-11 22:45