Language:English
San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 62.60%1.60fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%62.54%62.58%63.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5867.11%65.31%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV -0.154%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%37.46%37.42%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.502.6742.55%39.55%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 62.60%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 37.40%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.674. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.670, with an expected value of -0.154%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.09%E -0.687%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.28%E -0.483%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.772%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 05:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.527%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 22:47 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:37 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 01:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 07:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |