StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 01:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Diego Padres (Heim)

Prognose 62.87%1.59faire Quote
EV +1.22%
Vorteil +0.756%
Kelly +2.00%
Wachstum +0.024%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.82%62.78%62.95%63.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.461.521.531.6168.49%65.70%65.36%62.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.13%2.69faire Quote
EV -1.60%
Vorteil -0.604%
Kelly -0.970%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.59%37.22%37.05%41.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.50%39.22%37.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: San Diego Padres (Heim): 62.87%; Washington Nationals (Auswärts): 37.13%. Für San Diego Padres (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.59. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.61 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.22%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.22%E +0.756%K +2.00%G +0.024%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 02:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.589%E +0.368%K +0.982%G +0.006%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 22:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.60%E -0.604%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:15
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 00:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-09-08 02:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-09-08 02:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-09-08 00:55
Arbitrage (1 Kombination) +0.15%ReBet 1.61 (62.2%) / Caesars 2.65 (37.8%)Einzelheiten anzeigen
San Diego Padres (Heim)Washington Nationals (Auswärts)Marge
ReBet🎯 1.61 (62.2%)Caesars🎯 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%