StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 01:41 UTC — MLB

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Diego Padres (Hemma)

Prognos 62.87%1.59rättvist odds
EV +1.22%
Fördel +0.756%
Kelly +2.00%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.82%62.78%62.95%63.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.461.521.531.6168.49%65.70%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Borta)

Prognos 37.13%2.69rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.604%
Kelly -0.970%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.59%37.22%37.05%41.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.50%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: San Diego Padres (Hemma): 62.87%; Washington Nationals (Borta): 37.13%. För San Diego Padres (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.59. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.61, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.22%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.22%E +0.756%K +2.00%G +0.024%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 02:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.589%E +0.368%K +0.982%G +0.006%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 22:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.60%E -0.604%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:15
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 00:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-09-08 02:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-09-08 02:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-09-08 00:55
Arbitrage (1 kombination) +0.15%ReBet 1.61 (62.2%) / Caesars 2.65 (37.8%)Visa detaljer
San Diego Padres (Hemma)Washington Nationals (Borta)Marginal
ReBet🎯 1.61 (62.2%)Caesars🎯 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%