Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-09-09 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 5–4 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 62.60%1.60odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.687%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.95%62.54%62.58%63.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.531.531.5867.11%65.31%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 37.40%2.67odd justa
EV -0.154%
Vantagem -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.52%37.46%37.42%40.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.502.6742.55%39.55%40.00%37.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 62.60%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 37.40%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.674. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.670, com valor esperado de -0.154%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.09%E -0.687%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.28%E -0.483%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 01:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 01:00
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 01:39
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.772%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 01:39
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 00:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 05:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 05:28
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.527%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 01:35
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:47
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 07:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 10:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 22:43
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:15
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 01:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:43
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:37
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 01:13
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-09 01:39
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-09 00:14
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-08 07:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:25
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-09-09 01:30