Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-09 01:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 5–4 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 62.60%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.687%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.95%62.54%62.58%63.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.531.531.5867.11%65.31%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.40%2.67cote équitable
EV -0.154%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.52%37.46%37.42%40.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.502.6742.55%39.55%40.00%37.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 62.60% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 37.40%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.674. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.670, pour une espérance de -0.154% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.09%E -0.687%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.28%E -0.483%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 01:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:39
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 01:00
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 01:39
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.772%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 01:39
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 00:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 05:15
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 05:28
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.527%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 01:35
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:47
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 07:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 10:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 22:43
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:15
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 01:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:29
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:43
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:37
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 01:13
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-09 01:39
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-09 00:14
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-08 07:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-09 01:25
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-09-09 01:30