Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 62.87%1.59cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.756%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%62.78%62.95%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.461.521.531.6168.49%65.70%65.36%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.13%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.604%
Kelly -0.970%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.22%37.05%41.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.50%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : San Diego Padres (Local) : 62.87% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 37.13%. Pour San Diego Padres (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.59. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.61, pour une espérance positive de +1.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.22%E +0.756%K +2.00%G +0.024%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 02:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.589%E +0.368%K +0.982%G +0.006%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 22:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.60%E -0.604%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:15
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-09-08 02:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-09-08 02:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-09-08 00:55
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.15%ReBet 1.61 (62.2%) / Caesars 2.65 (37.8%)Afficher les détails
San Diego Padres (Local)Washington Nationals (Visiteur)Marge
ReBet🎯 1.61 (62.2%)Caesars🎯 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%