Idioma:Español
San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 62.60%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.95%62.54%62.58%63.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.531.531.5867.11%65.31%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 37.40%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.154%
Ventaja -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.52%37.46%37.42%40.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.532.502.6742.55%39.55%40.00%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 62.60%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 37.40%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.674. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.670, con un valor esperado de -0.154%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.09%E -0.687%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -1.28%E -0.483%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.154%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.901%E -0.340%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.772%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 05:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.527%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-07 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 22:47 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:37 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 01:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 07:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |