默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 01:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 62.87%1.59公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.756%
Kelly +2.00%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
58.82%62.78%62.95%63.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.521.531.6168.49%65.70%65.36%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 37.13%2.69公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.604%
Kelly -0.970%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.59%37.22%37.05%41.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.50%39.22%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:San Diego Padres (主队):62.87%;Washington Nationals (客队):37.13%。 对于“San Diego Padres (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.59。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为1.61,由此产生+1.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.22%E +0.756%K +2.00%G +0.024%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 02:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.589%E +0.368%K +0.982%G +0.006%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 22:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.60%E -0.604%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:15
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:44
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:48
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 00:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-09-08 01:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-08 01:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-09-08 02:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-09-08 02:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%10.2%2026-09-08 00:55
套利(1 种组合) +0.15%ReBet 1.61 (62.2%) / Caesars 2.65 (37.8%)显示详情
San Diego Padres (主队)Washington Nationals (客队)利润率
ReBet🎯 1.61 (62.2%)Caesars🎯 2.65 (37.8%)+0.153%