Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 01:41 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

63%

37%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 62.87%1.59quota equa

EV +1.22%

Vantaggio +0.756%

Kelly +2.00%

Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

58.82%62.78%62.95%63.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.461.521.531.6168.49%65.70%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.13%2.69quota equa

EV -1.60%

Vantaggio -0.604%

Kelly -0.970%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

36.59%37.22%37.05%41.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.302.532.552.6543.48%39.50%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: San Diego Padres (Casa): 62.87%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 37.13%. Per San Diego Padres (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.59. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 1.61, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.22%E +0.756%K +2.00%G +0.024%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 02:00
1xBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.589%E +0.368%K +0.982%G +0.006%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-07 22:35
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.44%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.60%E -0.604%K -0.970%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.55%E -1.65%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 01:45
Fliff🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-07 22:15
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.89%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-07 22:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-07 23:40
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-08 01:44
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-07 22:09
Bet Right🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:24
Unibet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
Casumo🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
betPARX🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-08 00:25
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 01:44
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-07 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-08 01:45
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-08 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-08 02:40
DraftKings🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.83%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 22:15
Coolbet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-07 22:50
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-08 00:50
Fanatics🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-08 00:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-08 01:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 00:48
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 00:50
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-07 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-07 22:50
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 00:50
SportsBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-08 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-08 00:50

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%	0.1%	2026-09-08 01:15
Polymarket◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-08 01:05
Novig◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%	2.8%	2026-09-08 02:40
ProphetX◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%	8.8%	2026-09-08 02:40
Smarkets◎	1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%	10.2%	2026-09-08 00:55

Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.15%ReBet 1.61 (62.2%) / Caesars 2.65 (37.8%)Mostra dettagli

ReBet🎯 Caesars🎯

San Diego Padres (Casa)	Washington Nationals (Trasferta)	Margine
ReBet🎯 1.61 (62.2%)	Caesars🎯 2.65 (37.8%)	+0.153%