Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 73.90%1.35fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.85%73.98%75.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.49%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +5.19%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%26.15%26.02%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.704.0330.30%27.17%27.03%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 73.90%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 26.10%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.39%EV +5.19%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.089% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.065% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.36%E +0.848%K +1.13%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.56%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.44%EV +0.226%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -2.64%E -0.709%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |