Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-06 22:06 UTC — MLB

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)

Прогноз 73.73%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.94%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -5.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.58%73.73%73.62%75.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.261.301.301.3379.37%77.14%76.92%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Washington Nationals (Гости)

Прогноз 26.27%3.81справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.08%
Преимущество +1.27%
Kelly +1.69%
Рост +0.086%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.67%26.27%26.38%28.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.603.604.0029.85%27.75%27.78%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 73.73%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 26.27%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.81. 3 букмекера предлагают коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 4.00, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +5.08%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +5.08%E +1.27%K +1.69%G +0.086%1.3%2026-08-06 01:20
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +1.40%E +0.363%K +0.490%G +0.007%2.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.613%E +0.160%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 00:24
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 00:40
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.63%E -4.39%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:19
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.36%E -5.01%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:25
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 01:35
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-05 23:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-08-05 23:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%5.6%2026-08-05 21:45