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Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.90%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.45%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -7.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.74%73.85%73.98%75.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.49%77.52%75.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Washington Nationals (Гости)
Прогноз 26.10%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.19%
Преимущество +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Рост +0.089%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.03
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.39%26.15%26.02%28.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.683.704.0330.30%27.17%27.03%24.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 73.90%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 26.10%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.83. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.03, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.19%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.39%EV +5.19%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.089% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.065% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.36%E +0.848%K +1.13%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.56%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.44%EV +0.226%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -2.64%E -0.709%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |