StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-06 22:06 UTC — MLB

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma)

Prognos 73.73%1.36rättvist odds
EV -1.94%
Fördel -1.46%
Kelly -5.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.58%73.73%73.62%75.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.261.301.301.3379.37%77.14%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Borta)

Prognos 26.27%3.81rättvist odds
EV +5.08%
Fördel +1.27%
Kelly +1.69%
Tillväxt +0.086%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.67%26.27%26.38%28.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.603.604.0029.85%27.75%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma): 73.73%; Washington Nationals (Borta): 26.27%. För Washington Nationals (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.81. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.08%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +5.08%E +1.27%K +1.69%G +0.086%1.3%2026-08-06 01:20
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +1.40%E +0.363%K +0.490%G +0.007%2.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.613%E +0.160%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 00:24
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 00:40
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.63%E -4.39%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:19
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.36%E -5.01%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:25
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 01:35
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-05 23:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-08-05 23:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%5.6%2026-08-05 21:45