Langue:Français
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prévision 73.90%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -7.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%73.85%73.98%75.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.49%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV +5.19%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 4.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%26.15%26.02%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.683.704.0330.30%27.17%27.03%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 73.90% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 26.10%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.03, soit une espérance positive de +5.19%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.39%EV +5.19%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.089% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.065% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.36%E +0.848%K +1.13%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.56%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.44%EV +0.226%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -2.64%E -0.709%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |