النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-06 22:06 UTC — MLB

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.73%1.36السعر العادل
EV -1.94%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -5.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.58%73.73%73.62%75.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.301.301.3379.37%77.14%76.92%75.19%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.27%3.81السعر العادل
EV +5.08%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.69%
النمو +0.086%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.67%26.27%26.38%28.42%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.603.604.0029.85%27.75%27.78%25.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)⁩: ⁨73.73%⁩؛ ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩: ⁨26.27%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.81⁩. تعرض 3 شركات مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨4.00⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+5.08%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +5.08%E +1.27%K +1.69%G +0.086%1.3%2026-08-06 01:20
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%EV +1.40%E +0.363%K +0.490%G +0.007%2.2%2026-08-06 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +0.613%E +0.160%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%EV -0.963%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 00:24
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:30
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -3.85%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 00:40
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-06 00:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.63%E -4.39%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.41%E -2.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:20
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.22%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:19
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.36%E -5.01%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -7.10%E -5.63%K -27.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 01:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 00:25
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-06 01:35
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-05 23:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-08-05 23:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%5.6%2026-08-05 21:45