Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 73.90%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -7.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%73.85%73.98%75.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.49%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV +5.19%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%26.15%26.02%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.683.704.0330.30%27.17%27.03%24.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 73.90%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 26.10%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.03, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.19%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.39%EV +5.19%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.089% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.065% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.36%E +0.848%K +1.13%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.56%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.44%EV +0.226%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -2.64%E -0.709%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |