语言:简体中文
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Philadelphia Phillies (主队)
预测 73.90%1.35公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -7.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.32
博彩公司预测分布
71.74%73.85%73.98%75.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.49%77.52%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 26.10%3.83公平赔率
EV +5.19%
优势 +1.29%
Kelly +1.71%
增长率 +0.089%
假设最高赔率为 4.03
博彩公司预测分布
24.39%26.15%26.02%28.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.683.704.0330.30%27.17%27.03%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：73.90%；Washington Nationals (客队)：26.10%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.03，对应+5.19%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.39%EV +5.19%E +1.29%K +1.71%G +0.089% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%EV +4.40%E +1.10%K +1.47%G +0.065% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV +3.36%E +0.848%K +1.13%G +0.038% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV +3.10%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.487%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.56%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.44%EV +0.226%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.296%E -0.077%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.818%E -0.215%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -2.64%E -0.709%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.13%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |