Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV +0.302%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 36.11%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |