Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-05 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 60.49%1.65fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%60.50%60.51%61.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.17%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV +0.757%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.489%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%39.50%39.49%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5543.48%41.65%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 60.49%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 39.51%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +0.757%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.757%E +0.297%K +0.489%G +0.004%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.22%E -0.487%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.01%E -1.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.22%E -0.487%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 01:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.01%E -0.810%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:04
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.40%E -0.973%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.40%E -0.973%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:05
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.41%E -0.862%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:55
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 01:05
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:29
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:24
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 01:09
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:09
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:09
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:08
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.64%E -3.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.62%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:28
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:24
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:30
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.35%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:14
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.35%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:14
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:24
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.83%E -2.41%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:29
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.04%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.06%E -5.30%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.06%E -5.30%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-08-05 01:30
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-05 01:35
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-08-05 01:40
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-08-05 01:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%7.6%2026-08-05 01:45