Langue:Français
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prévision 63.89%1.57cote équitable
EV +0.302%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.11%2.77cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.046%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 63.89% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 36.11%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +2.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |