Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Początek: 2026-08-05 23:05 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.89%1.57kurs godziwy
EV +0.302%
Przewaga +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 36.11%2.77kurs godziwy
EV +2.92%
Przewaga +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Wzrost +0.046%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Philadelphia Phillies (Gospodarze): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 36.11%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.77. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.85, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.92%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046%1.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026%2.4%2026-08-05 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019%1.7%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 21:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 20:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 13:30
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-05 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-08-05 22:30
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00