النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-08-05 23:05 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.89%1.57السعر العادل
EV +0.302%
الأفضلية +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.11%2.77السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)⁩: ⁨63.89%⁩؛ ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩: ⁨36.11%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.77⁩. عرضت 7 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.85⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+2.92%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046%1.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026%2.4%2026-08-05 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019%1.7%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 21:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 20:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 13:30
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-05 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-08-05 22:30
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00