النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

2026-08-05 22:41 UTC — MLB

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.47%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.882%
Kelly -2.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.14%60.44%60.45%61.74%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.12%63.29%61.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.53%2.53السعر العادل
EV +0.808%
الأفضلية +0.317%
Kelly +0.522%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.26%39.56%39.55%40.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.402.402.5543.48%41.67%41.67%39.22%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.47%⁩؛ ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.53%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Washington Nationals (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.53⁩. تعرض شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨2.55⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.808%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.808%E +0.317%K +0.522%G +0.004%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.17%E -0.467%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.17%E -0.467%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 01:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.96%E -0.790%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:04
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.35%E -0.953%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.35%E -0.953%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:05
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.44%E -0.882%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:55
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 01:05
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:09
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:29
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.33%E -1.79%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 02:25
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 02:29
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 01:09
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:39
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:09
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:09
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:08
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.52%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:40
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.67%E -3.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.52%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:30
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:28
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:24
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:24
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:29
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:30
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:30
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:29
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.49%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.09%E -5.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-08-05 01:35
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-05 01:50
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-05 01:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 02:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-08-05 02:20
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%7.6%2026-08-05 02:35