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Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева)
Прогноз 63.89%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.302%
Преимущество +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Washington Nationals (Гости)
Прогноз 36.11%2.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.92%
Преимущество +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Рост +0.046%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Philadelphia Phillies (Хозяева): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 36.11%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.77. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.92%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |