Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-08-05 23:05 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 63.89%1.57odd justa
EV +0.302%
Vantagem +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 36.11%2.77odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.11%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.92%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046%1.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026%2.4%2026-08-05 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019%1.7%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 21:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 20:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 13:30
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-05 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-08-05 22:30
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00