Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 63.89%1.57momio equitativo
EV +0.302%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 36.11%2.77momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.11%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |