StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals

Matchstart: 2026-08-05 23:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma)

Prognos 63.89%1.57rättvist odds
EV +0.302%
Fördel +0.192%
Kelly +0.529%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.86%63.79%63.88%65.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.491.491.5770.42%67.11%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Borta)

Prognos 36.11%2.77rättvist odds
EV +2.92%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.58%
Tillväxt +0.046%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.49%36.21%36.12%38.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.53%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma): 63.89%; Washington Nationals (Borta): 36.11%. För Washington Nationals (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.77. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.92%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.37%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.63%EV +2.92%E +1.03%K +1.58%G +0.046%1.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV +2.20%E +0.778%K +1.20%G +0.026%2.4%2026-08-05 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.84%E +0.653%K +1.01%G +0.019%1.7%2026-08-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +0.396%E +0.142%K +0.222%G +0.001%2.2%2026-08-05 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.687%E -0.250%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.923%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 21:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 20:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.302%E +0.192%K +0.529%G +0.002%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.62%E -1.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 13:30
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.19%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -8.63%E -3.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.52%E -4.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-05 23:00
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-05 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-08-05 22:30
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 23:00