The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-12 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.968%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%45.97%46.05%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.072.1550%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.03%53.95%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.771.8358%57%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.11%E -0.518%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 18:39
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.57%E -0.735%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:23
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.03%E -0.955%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:39
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.03%E -0.955%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.17%E -0.639%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.25%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 20:44
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 20:34
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 02:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.03%E -3.47%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.41%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.87%E -1.85%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.33%E -1.86%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.33%E -2.08%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:44
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.87%E -2.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:49
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:39
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:40
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:40
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:39
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 00:34
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 00:34
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:39
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:39
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.79%E -1.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:39
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:40
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.03%E -3.47%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.17%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 23:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.11%E -4.13%K -9.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-11 23:49
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-07-12 01:14
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-11 23:53
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-12 01:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-11 23:59
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-07-11 23:45