Die Schule der Quoten

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Endstand: Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Heim)

Prognose 45.77%2.18faire Quote
EV +0.694%
Vorteil +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.23%1.84faire Quote
EV -0.759%
Vorteil -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:05
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 11:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:27
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:29
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:32
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:44
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:49
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:12
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-12 17:15
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39