Школа коэффициентов

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

Начало: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Итог: Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.77%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.694%
Преимущество +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chicago Cubs (Гости)

Прогноз 54.23%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.759%
Преимущество -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:05
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 11:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:27
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:29
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:32
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:44
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:49
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:12
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-12 17:15
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39