Szkoła Kursów

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

Początek: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.77%2.18kurs godziwy
EV +0.694%
Przewaga +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Chicago Cubs (Goście)

Prognoza 54.23%1.84kurs godziwy
EV -0.759%
Przewaga -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:05
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 11:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:27
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:29
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:32
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:44
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:49
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:12
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-12 17:15
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39