La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 45.77%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.694%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 54.23%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.759%
Ventaja -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetUS | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 00:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ReBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 19:28 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:40 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:27 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 09:29 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 19:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| Betsson | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 04:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 12:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 17:12 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |