L’École des cotesFrançais
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prévision 45.77%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.694%
Avantage +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.23%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.759%
Avantage -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetUS | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 00:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ReBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 19:28 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:40 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:27 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 09:29 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 19:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| Betsson | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 04:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 12:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 17:12 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |