默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

最终结果: Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 45.77%2.18公平赔率
EV +0.694%
优势 +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 54.23%1.84公平赔率
EV -0.759%
优势 -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):45.77%;Chicago Cubs (客队):54.23%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.20,对应+0.694%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 11:45
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:00
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:27
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:29
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:32
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:44
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:49
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:24
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:12
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-12 17:15
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39