مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 4–8 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.77%2.18السعر العادل
EV +0.694%
الأفضلية +0.316%
Kelly +0.579%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.01%45.68%45.74%46.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.53%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.23%1.84السعر العادل
EV -0.759%
الأفضلية -0.415%
Kelly -0.915%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.25%54.32%54.26%55.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.20%57.14%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.694%E +0.316%K +0.579%G +0.004%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.221%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -0.679%E -0.313%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -1.14%E -0.526%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 03:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:05
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.59%E -0.741%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.759%E -0.415%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-12 00:14
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 11:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:28
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:24
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:27
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 09:29
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:32
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 19:34
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.93%E -1.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 15:44
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:49
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 23:59
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:24
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.71%E -2.77%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:12
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-12 17:15
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39