语言:简体中文
Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Naomi Osaka (主队)
预测 56.65%1.77公平赔率
EV +0.274%
优势 +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 1.77
博彩公司预测分布
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Karolina Muchova (客队)
预测 43.35%2.31公平赔率
EV +1.87%
优势 +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Naomi Osaka (主队)：56.65%；Karolina Muchova (客队)：43.35%。 对于“Karolina Muchova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.35，对应+1.87%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 15:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 15:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 14:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |