Die Wettquotenschule

Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-07 15:14 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Heim)

Prognose 56.65%1.77faire Quote
EV +0.274%
Vorteil +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Karolina Muchova (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.35%2.31faire Quote
EV +1.87%
Vorteil +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
Wachstum +0.026%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%5.4%2026-07-07 15:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 14:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:54
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 14:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-07 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 15:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:45
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 14:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 14:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 14:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:56
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 15:10
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 15:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-07 15:10