مدرسة الاحتمالات

Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova

البداية: 2026-07-07 15:14 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Naomi Osaka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.65%1.77السعر العادل
EV +0.274%
الأفضلية +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Karolina Muchova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.35%2.31السعر العادل
EV +1.87%
الأفضلية +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%5.4%2026-07-07 15:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 14:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:54
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 14:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-07 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 15:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:45
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 14:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 14:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 14:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:56
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 15:10
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 14:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 15:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-07 15:10