La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 56.65%1.77momio equitativo
EV +0.274%
Ventaja +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Karolina Muchova (Visitante)
Predicción 43.35%2.31momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 15:09 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 15:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-07 15:09 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 14:54 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 14:56 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |