Школа коэффициентов

Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova

Начало: 2026-07-07 15:14 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.65%1.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.274%
Преимущество +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Karolina Muchova (Гости)

Прогноз 43.35%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.87%
Преимущество +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
Рост +0.026%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%5.4%2026-07-07 15:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 14:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:54
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 14:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-07 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 15:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:45
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 14:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 14:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 14:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:56
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 15:10
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 15:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-07 15:10