Szkoła Kursów

Naomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova

Początek: 2026-07-07 15:14 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.65%1.77kurs godziwy
EV +0.274%
Przewaga +0.155%
Kelly +0.356%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.91%56.62%56.69%59.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.651.671.7765.36%60.51%59.88%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Karolina Muchova (Goście)

Prognoza 43.35%2.31kurs godziwy
EV +1.87%
Przewaga +0.795%
Kelly +1.38%
Wzrost +0.026%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.05%43.38%43.31%46.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.05%45.45%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -9.92%E -6.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%5.4%2026-07-07 15:09
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.87%E +0.795%K +1.38%G +0.026%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +0.567%E +0.244%K +0.430%G +0.002%7.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -0.300%E -0.130%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.17%E -0.512%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 15:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.60%E -0.705%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 14:59
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.03%E -0.900%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:54
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 14:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -13.32%E -8.71%K -25.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-07 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 15:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.77%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 14:55
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:45
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 14:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 15:10
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.93%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 14:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.37%E -2.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.43%E -0.819%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 15:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 14:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 14:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 14:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 14:56
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.22%E -5.08%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 15:10
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.274%E +0.155%K +0.356%G +0.001%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 14:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-07 15:10
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 15:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 15:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-07 15:10