语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 67.32%1.49公平赔率
EV +0.984%
优势 +0.656%
Kelly +1.97%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
63.77%67.10%67.33%69.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.21%70.42%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Naomi Osaka (客队)
预测 32.68%3.06公平赔率
EV +0.974%
优势 +0.315%
Kelly +0.466%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 3.09
博彩公司预测分布
30.87%32.90%32.67%36.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.822.853.0938.46%35.45%35.09%32.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：67.32%；Naomi Osaka (客队)：32.68%。 对于“Aryna Sabalenka (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.49。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.50，对应+0.984%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.984%E +0.656%K +1.97%G +0.019% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -13.73%E -5.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.04%E -0.705%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.40%E -5.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -2.38%E -1.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -2.95%E -0.992%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.06%E -2.12%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.49%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -0.660%E -0.217%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -3.73%E -2.61%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -15.04%E -5.78%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.40%E -3.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.333%E -0.109%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.08%E -3.60%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -6.54%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.42%E -4.62%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.77%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV +0.974%E +0.315%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.10%E -5.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.77%E -5.67%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.97%E -0.656%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.44%E -6.21%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.50%E -3.04%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |